Written by Rene Bermudez | Edited by Crissinda Ponder | Updated December 19, 2024
Mortgage rate news: Are refinance rates going to drop?
The current mortgage interest rates forecast is for rates to remain elevated compared to where they sat before the pandemic, even if they do move down slightly as we close out 2024. Our senior economist, Jacob Channel, expects home sales to remain slow as 2025 begins.
Here are the U.S. weekly average rates from the Freddie Mac Primary Mortgage Market Survey, as of December 19, 2024:
- 30-year fixed-rate mortgage: 6.72%
- 15-year fixed-rate mortgage: 5.92%
30-year rates went down by 0.12 percentage points this week, and 15-year rates dropped by 0.08 percentage points. As we head into the last few weeks of the year, rates are roughly on par with where they were at the end of 2023, and have remained below 7% for over six months.
Refinance rates trends this month
So far, concerns about inflation and rising 10-year treasury yields are keeping rates above 6.5%. It’s unlikely we’ll see mortgage rates climb back above 7% before the year ends, but if that happens, homes will be much less affordable.
The Federal Reserve announced its final rate cut of the year on December 18th, and indicated that it expects to make fewer cuts in 2025 than it did this year. Still, there is no guarantee that this rate cut will translate to lower mortgage rates.
Expert insights on refinance rates this month
Jacob Channel
Senior economist
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“Mortgage refinance rates are likely to climb higher as 10-year treasury yields rise. As long as bond investors remain especially worried that high inflation will once again rear its ugly head, we should expect mortgage refinance rates to climb.”
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How are refinance rates determined?
Refinance rates are based on both factors you can control, like your personal finances, and some you can’t, like the market environment.
To get a lower mortgage refinance rate, you need to get your credit score as high as you can, save for a larger down payment amount, and choose the right type of mortgage loan for you.
Also remember to get offers from three to five lenders before moving forward with a loan offer. This will save you thousands of dollars over time.
Learn more about how to improve your credit score.